Every peril below is a calibrated 90 m global surface, modeled with the method that fits its physics. Every peril ships in Petrel Surfaces — a 0–1 calibrated score, a 5-class risk band, a per-pixel uncertainty layer, and an input-coverage mask. Per-return-period intensity rasters (Petrel Returns) are live for hurricane, windstorm, extreme heat, extreme cold, and drought; stochastic event sets for the remaining extreme-value perils are on the roadmap.
How to get it: a free ~5°×5° sample per peril is on the public CDN today (no signup). The hosted point-query API is live and self-serve, metered through Stripe — get a free API key. Full bulk vintage downloads are sold under enterprise contracts — contact sales. Per-hazard model cards land with the public docs portal in 2026.Q3.
Observational · WGLC flash density × ECDF normalization
Observed lightning flash density from a global lightning-detection climatology.
What ships
Surfaces — 0–1 susceptibility derived from annual flash density (flashes / km² / yr), recalibrated with a stratified ECDF. Full-resolution (GSHHG-f) coastline: barrier islands now scored.
Inputs: World Wide Lightning Location Network gridded climatology
Extreme value · L-moment GEV, region-of-influence RFA (~400-cell climate-similarity pools)
Drought-severity (SPEI-12) susceptibility and return levels from 85 years of ERA5 climate reanalysis, 1940-2024. Polar and hyperarid cells are left unscored.
What ships
Surfaces + Returns — 0–1 drought susceptibility (N2-normalized rp100 |SPEI-12|, v2.1) plus per-return-period |SPEI-12| magnitudes (rp5/10/25/50/100, σ), region-of-influence regional fit.
Inputs: ERA5 monthly precipitation + 2m temperature 1940-2024, Beck 2018 Köppen-Geiger 1km, Thornthwaite 1948 PET, climate_indices Pearson III SPEI-12
Thirteen hazards to round out the 25-peril catalog. Designed and queued items have a config and methodology doc in source; untouched items are scoped but not started.
FLD · Designed
Flood
Surfaces + Returns. HAND-derived flow accumulation at multi-RP.
SUB · Designed
Ground subsidence
XGBoost on InSAR rates.
EQR · Designed
Earthquake Returns
Multi-return-period PGA extending the shipped v1.0 Surfaces.