The hazard catalog

Eleven live.
One scale.

Every peril below is a calibrated 90 m global surface, modeled with the method that fits its physics. Every peril ships in Petrel Surfaces — a 0–1 calibrated score, a 5-class risk band, a per-pixel uncertainty layer, and an input-coverage mask. Per-return-period intensity rasters (Petrel Returns) are live for hurricane, windstorm, extreme heat, extreme cold, and drought; stochastic event sets for the remaining extreme-value perils are on the roadmap.

How to get it: a free ~5°×5° sample per peril is on the public CDN today (no signup). The hosted point-query API is live and self-serve, metered through Stripe — get a free API key. Full bulk vintage downloads are sold under enterprise contracts — contact sales. Per-hazard model cards land with the public docs portal in 2026.Q3.

Petrel Surfaces · 11 live perils
0–1 calibrated score, 5-class band, uncertainty, coverage.
Petrel Returns · live (5 perils)
Per-return-period intensities in native units — hurricane, windstorm, extreme heat, extreme cold, drought.
Petrel Layers · free
Free global context rasters — fuel, ignition, aridity. Browse layers →

Live

Landslide susceptibility preview
Karakoram — sharp ridge & valley structure pops at 90 m
LNDv1.1 · 2026-04

Landslide

Machine learning · XGBoost · spatially blocked CV · AUC 0.97

Machine-learning susceptibility trained on 80,000+ documented landslides worldwide - terrain, geology, soil, and rainfall.

What ships
Surfaces — calibrated 0–1 probability per pixel.

Inputs: DEM slope/aspect, TWI, landcover, rainfall, NASA-GLC inventory (80K events)

Avalanche susceptibility preview
French & Italian Alps — Chamonix corridor at peak
AVLv1.1 · 2026-04

Avalanche

Machine learning · XGBoost · spatially blocked CV · AUC 0.99

Machine-learning susceptibility from terrain and snow-climate, trained on observed avalanche events.

What ships
Surfaces — calibrated 0–1 probability per pixel.

Inputs: DEM slope/aspect, mean snowfall, winter temperature, terrain ruggedness

preview pending
Preview ships when the v1.1 global retrain finishes
WLFv1.1 · pending

Wildfire

Machine learning · XGBoost · spatially blocked CV · envelope-matched negatives · AUC 0.94

Machine-learning likelihood trained on satellite active-fire detections - vegetation, climate, and ignition drivers.

What ships
Surfaces — calibrated 0–1 probability per pixel, with bootstrap-ensemble uncertainty.

Inputs: NDVI peak-fire-season, canopy height, dry months, lightning density, landcover (categorical), roads, climate envelope

Earthquake susceptibility preview
San Francisco Bay to Salinas — high-PGA corridor along the San Andreas
EQKv1.1.1 · 2026-07

Earthquake

Physics · GEM PGA × Vs30 site amplification

Ground-shaking exposure from the GEM global 475-year seismic hazard model, refined for local soil amplification.

What ships
Surfaces — 0–1 susceptibility derived from the 475-year GEM PGA modulated by Vs30 amplification. Full-resolution (GSHHG-f) coastline: barrier islands now scored.

Inputs: GEM 2023 seismic hazard, USGS Vs30, soil-class amplification factors

Windstorm susceptibility preview
North Sea & UK — extratropical storm belt, coast-to-inland gradient
WNDv1.1.1 · 2026-07

Windstorm

Extreme value · GEV on ERA5 monthly fg10 maxima

The 100-year extreme wind gust, from 30 years of ERA5 climate reanalysis.

What ships
Surfaces + Returns — 0–1 score derived from the 100-year gust, plus per-return-period peak gust (rp10/25/50/100/200, m/s). Full-resolution (GSHHG-f) coastline: barrier islands now scored.

Inputs: ERA5 monthly gust extremes 1991–2020

Extreme heat susceptibility preview
Indo-Gangetic plain to the Tibetan plateau — elevation lapse in action
HEATv1.1.1 · 2026-07

Extreme heat

Extreme value · GEV on ERA5 mx2t + elevation lapse downscale

The 100-year extreme high temperature, from 30 years of ERA5 climate reanalysis, downscaled to 90 m.

What ships
Surfaces + Returns — 0–1 score derived from the 100-year Tmax, plus per-return-period annual-max Tmax (rp5/10/25/50/100, °C). Full-resolution (GSHHG-f) coastline: barrier islands now scored.

Inputs: ERA5 monthly max temperature 1991–2020, DEM for elevation lapse correction

Extreme cold susceptibility preview
Russia / Mongolia / China — Siberian extreme to milder steppe
COLDv1.1.1 · 2026-07

Extreme cold

Extreme value · GEV on inverted ERA5 t2m + elevation lapse downscale

The 100-year extreme low temperature, from 30 years of ERA5 climate reanalysis, downscaled to 90 m.

What ships
Surfaces + Returns — 0–1 score derived from the 100-year Tmin, plus per-return-period annual-min Tmin (rp5/10/25/50/100, °C). Full-resolution (GSHHG-f) coastline: barrier islands now scored.

Inputs: ERA5 monthly min temperature 1991–2020, DEM

Frost / freeze susceptibility preview
Europe — Alpine altitude band against the Mediterranean
FRZv1.1.1 · 2026-07

Frost / freeze

Climatology · Monthly frost-month climatology

How often freezing conditions occur through the year, from 30 years of ERA5 climate reanalysis.

What ships
Surfaces — 0–1 susceptibility derived from frost-month frequency per year. Full-resolution (GSHHG-f) coastline: barrier islands now scored.

Inputs: ERA5 monthly t2m 1991–2020

Lightning susceptibility preview
Lake Maracaibo, Venezuela — densest lightning on the planet
LTNv1.1.1 · 2026-07

Lightning

Observational · WGLC flash density × ECDF normalization

Observed lightning flash density from a global lightning-detection climatology.

What ships
Surfaces — 0–1 susceptibility derived from annual flash density (flashes / km² / yr), recalibrated with a stratified ECDF. Full-resolution (GSHHG-f) coastline: barrier islands now scored.

Inputs: World Wide Lightning Location Network gridded climatology

Soil erosion susceptibility preview
Loess Plateau, China — classic erosion landscape, hill-by-hill detail
EROv1.1.1 · 2026-07

Soil erosion

Process model · RUSLE (R · K · LS · C · P)

Long-term annual soil loss from the RUSLE model - rainfall, soil, slope, and land cover. Ice, rock, and open water are left unscored.

What ships
Surfaces — 0–1 susceptibility derived from annual erosion rate (t/ha/yr). Full-resolution (GSHHG-f) coastline: narrow coasts now scored where soil exists.

Inputs: ERA5 rainfall erosivity, SoilGrids K-factor, DEM slope-length, Copernicus Global Land Cover C-factor

Hurricane susceptibility preview
US East Coast — high coastal gust exposure fading inland, Florida to New England
HURv1.1 · 2026-07

Hurricane

Physics · Event-driven: STORM v4 + CLIMADA Holland H08

Tropical-cyclone peak-gust exposure from 10,000 years of synthetic storm tracks across all six ocean basins.

What ships
Surfaces + Returns — 0–1 susceptibility and per-return-period peak gust (rp50/100/250/500, m/s).

Inputs: STORM v4 10,000-yr synthetic tracks × 6 basins (Bloemendaal 2020, CC0), CLIMADA TropCyclone wind-field renderer, Natural Earth land mask

Drought susceptibility preview
SPEI-12 rp100 drought severity · California + SW USA, 90 m
DRTv2.1 · 2026-07

Drought

Extreme value · L-moment GEV, region-of-influence RFA (~400-cell climate-similarity pools)

Drought-severity (SPEI-12) susceptibility and return levels from 85 years of ERA5 climate reanalysis, 1940-2024. Polar and hyperarid cells are left unscored.

What ships
Surfaces + Returns — 0–1 drought susceptibility (N2-normalized rp100 |SPEI-12|, v2.1) plus per-return-period |SPEI-12| magnitudes (rp5/10/25/50/100, σ), region-of-influence regional fit.

Inputs: ERA5 monthly precipitation + 2m temperature 1940-2024, Beck 2018 Köppen-Geiger 1km, Thornthwaite 1948 PET, climate_indices Pearson III SPEI-12

Free layersPETREL LAYERS

Global context rasters that feed the hazard models — free to browse and download with attribution. Not risk scores; the raw ingredients.

FUE · v0.3 · 2026-06
Fuel Layer
~270 m (9 arc-second) · Vegetation
IGN · v0.1 · 2026-07
Ignition Layer
~5 km (0.05°) · Fire drivers
ARI · v0.1 · 2026-07
Aridity Index
~0.25° (~28 km, ERA5 native) · Climatology
FLW · v0.1 · 2026-07
Flow Accumulation
~278 m (9 arcsec) · Hydrology
All layers + roadmap →

On the roadmap

Thirteen hazards to round out the 25-peril catalog. Designed and queued items have a config and methodology doc in source; untouched items are scoped but not started.

FLD · Designed
Flood
Surfaces + Returns. HAND-derived flow accumulation at multi-RP.
SUB · Designed
Ground subsidence
XGBoost on InSAR rates.
EQR · Designed
Earthquake Returns
Multi-return-period PGA extending the shipped v1.0 Surfaces.
BLZ · Queued
Blizzard
Features built; pending Surfaces launch slot.
VOL · Untouched
Volcanic eruption
Smithsonian GVP proximity-decay. Lowest-hanging-fruit hazard.
SNK · Untouched
Sinkhole
Karst geology + sparse inventory.
TRN · Untouched
Tornado
NOAA SPC + ESSL inventory.
HAL · Untouched
Hail
Same family as tornado.
ICE · Untouched
Ice storm
ERA5 freezing-rain (FZRA) days.
DST · Untouched
Dust storm
ERA5 dust emission or MODIS aerosol.
SLR · Untouched
Sea level rise
CMIP6 SSP × DEM elevation. First Template B hazard.
SRG · Untouched
Storm surge
GTSM hindcast surge dataset.
TSU · Untouched
Tsunami
Runup from rupture-source models.
Live demo

Score any address against 11 live perils

Drop a pin anywhere on Earth, get the calibrated 0–1 score for every live peril, and email yourself the report. No signup.

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